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Steph Curry has had a prolific season, but his production from game-to-game has been all over the map, with a few scoring lines recently looking uncharacteristically low for arguably the greatest pure shooter the NBA has ever seen. In a matchup Thursday against the Dallas Mavericks, the line on BetMGM is currently set at 24.5 points for Curry.
In his last two games, the shooter has scored 27 and 34 points. He did so on a combined 26 three-point attempts. On February 24, Curry played only 27:27 against the Portland Trail Blazers – the Warriors simply didn’t need much from him in a 132-95 blowout.
If you toss out that game, Curry has scored over 25 points in five of his last six with a .469 field goal percentage on 19.9 field goal attempts and 11.0 three-point attempts per game. Curry has been much more consistent over the last three weeks or so.
The Mavericks have the fifth-best defensive rating on the season at 107.4, but that number has dropped to 16th at 113.3 over their last five games.
Dallas and Golden State met just last Sunday, in what ended up being a fairly low-scoring game, with the Mavericks winning 107-101. Curry finished that game with 27 points and 10 assists, and did so while only making three of his 10 three point attempts.
Curry is a career 42.7 percent three-point shooter, and overtook the record for most career threes earlier this season. If he finds this stroke from behind the arc a little more than he has in recent games, Curry is capable of dropping well north of the 25 points that it would take to hit the over on his prop for Thursday’s game.
If Curry isn’t dealing with an illness or an injury, then I’ll put my money on the greatest shooter in the history of the association to go over 25 points on basically any given night.
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